Are patent counts enough for a market statement?

No, and they don't stand alone here. Alongside filing activity you get revenue, R&D spend, market capitalisation, product families and the capital flows of the houses involved.

How far back do the figures go?

The financial provider reaches back over thirty years; what an analysis actually pulls is bounded by its own window, from 2000 at the earliest. The economic series behind the country weighting run from 1999. How far a single field reaches back depends on when people started filing in it.

What if the field is too new for a curve?

Then the reference is matched on the sub-industry and widened until comparable predecessors are found — and the curve used is stated in the result, with the option to replace it.

mar:val04 — Read the market

Is this field still worth entering, and who already owns it?

mar:val shows the size, pace and maturity of the technology field, who files and manufactures in it, and where in the lifecycle you would be entering.

Request a demo ← Back to the mar:val overview

A field with ever more players and ever fewer filings.

Plotted the way the product plots it: not as a time series but as a curve of filings against the number of distinct applicants, one dot per year. Drag the slider. Where the curve bends right, competitors are still arriving but the land grab is over — the least comfortable news this picture can deliver.

Technologies · lifecycle

Illustrative · anonymised

Year

Growth

Filings

Applicants

What that means

Filings and applicants rise together. The phase in which positions are built.

Pick a year

Who this is for

Strategy & corporate developmentR&D leadershipMarket entryBusiness developmentCompetitive intelligence

What the field gives away about itself

Size and pace

Sector revenue with a three-year forecast, market capitalisation, the revenue multiple and CAGR — with a movable growth window.

Growth by country

Revenue for two years side by side, country by country, with the growth multiple between them and the three largest houses in each.

Lifecycle phase

Market launch, growth, maturity, saturation, decline, stagnation — derived from filing activity and competitive density, not asserted.

Innovation matrix

Every company by revenue and patent growth, bubble size equal to market capitalisation, four quadrants.

The technology broken into sub-fields

Five to twenty sub-categories per analysis, each named and explained — in German, English and French.

Academia kept apart from industry

Universities and institutes rarely compete commercially, but they often hold the foundational art. Both curves run separately.

Research intensity

R&D as a share of sector revenue, and the estimated R&D spend per patent family — the price of entry, in figures.

The technology landscape in 3D

Every patent a point, related inventions as clusters. Rotate, zoom, select — and read the selection back as a table.

Every player's standing

Three independent ratings per company — threat, FTO risk, partnership — plus a short written read.

A forecast that names its curve

A growth path that appears only as a percentage cannot be checked. mar:val derives it from a named adoption curve, matched to your sub-segment and then adjustable by hand.

See the data behind mar:val

375 historical adoption curves, matched across 163 GICS sub-industries.
Bass diffusion for market spread, named and parameterised.
A Weibull distribution for the risk that protection stops being effective.
The two multiplied year by year — which is what yields the capturable share of each year.
Forecast years are drawn as forecasts, not as measurements.

What you are probably asking now

Through the patents that describe it. You name the technology field or supply the dataset; the sub-categories, companies, product families and market figures are built on top of it.

The other five situations

01Sell & licenseYou own the patent. You don't know what it's worth or who would pay for it.02Invest & acquireYou're about to put money in. The pitch deck is not evidence.03Steer your portfolioRenewal fees are due. Which families earn their keep?05Freedom to operateYou're about to launch. Whose patent are you standing on?06Technology transferYou've researched something new. Who brings it to market with you?

Know what your technology is worth.

In the demo we show you a real report from your technology field. 30 minutes, no obligation.

Questions first? kontakt@marlean.com